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Hormuz Disruption Lifts Japan 10-Year JGB Yield to 2.39%, Highest Since 1999
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield climbed to 2.38%–2.39% by early April 2026, the highest level since 1999, as disruption through the Strait of Hormuz pushed energy prices higher and intensified inflation concerns. Brent traded above $113–$116 per barrel in March and Dubai crude touched $170 at points, while Tokyo prepared and then committed to releasing about 80 million barrels from reserves. The Bank of Japan is set to meet April 27–28, with markets assigning a 60%–70% chance of a rate hike amid rising costs and growth risks.
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Prediction Markets Reprice April 2026 Risks as Hormuz Odds Drop to 10%
Prediction markets are signaling heightened April 2026 geopolitical risk, with odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing by month-end falling from 76.5% to about 10%. Separate oil contracts show 76.5% expect WTI to top $120, including 53.5% pricing $130 and nearly a third projecting $140+. The shift suggests traders are positioning for continued disruption and near-term volatility across risk assets, including crypto.
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Stablecoin Market Tops $317.134B After $1.242B Weekly Inflows, DefiLlama Data Shows
Over the past seven days, the stablecoin market added $1.242 billion in net inflows, lifting total capitalization to $317.134 billion as of Saturday, April 4. USDS led weekly movers with a 9.57% increase and more than $779 million in inflows, while USDT remained the largest asset at $184.076 billion and a 58.04% share. Separately, the sector recorded roughly $1.96 trillion in gross transfers, including about $508 billion in authentic settlement volume.
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Nasdaq files SEC rule change to update and extend non-displayed liquidity credit tier
On April 3, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission published a notice that a Nasdaq-proposed rule change to its transaction fee schedule was immediately effective. The filing updates the reference month for a non-displayed liquidity credit tier to February 2026 and extends the tier's expiration from March 2026 to August 2026. Nasdaq designated April 1, 2026 as the operative date, and the SEC is soliciting public comments.
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Charles Schwab plans spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, highlighting $12T reach
Charles Schwab, which manages nearly $12 trillion in client assets, says it plans to launch spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading this quarter while offering early access via a "Schwab Crypto" waitlist. The move is framed as a step toward bringing crypto into the same brokerage workflow used for stocks and ETFs, potentially amplifying institutional participation. Meanwhile, stablecoin growth continues to underpin DeFi liquidity, with total stablecoin market cap up 3.3% year-to-date and more than $1 billion added this week.
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