U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hits 5.041% peak as oil climbs and stocks extend losses

AI Market Summary
A renewed U.S. Treasury selloff pushed the 10-year yield above 5% to the highest since 2007, tightening financial conditions and weighing on equities as markets price a high probability of another Fed hike. Simultaneously, escalating Middle East hostilities and disruptions to Saudi export infrastructure lifted crude sharply, reinforcing inflation risks. Higher rates and energy prices together pressure risk assets and rate-sensitive sectors in the near term.
Impact level
● High
Affected assets
NCCO1OILBRENT2USD/USDT+1.36%
AI Insight · NCCO1OILBRENT2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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Selling in U.S. Treasuries continued on Tuesday, pushing the 10-year yield to an intraday high of 5.041%, its highest level since 2007, before it ended at 5.006%. Rate-hike expectations stayed elevated ahead of the policy decision, with the CME Group’s FedWatch tool putting the probability of an increase at 92.3%. U.S. equities fell again, with the S&P 500 down 0.45%, the Dow off 0.63%, and the Nasdaq down 0.78%. Yields kept rising even after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said last week the department will buy back $6 billion of longer-dated debt and as the Treasury was said to be able to tap its $1 trillion General Account (TGA) to help fund expanded buybacks.