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International Energy Agency projects 2026 oil supply to fall 5.7 million barrels a day as WTI holds near $100

AI Market Summary
Macro tone is mixed: core inflation was in line, supporting a risk-on open even as markets price a near-certain Fed hike and yields remain elevated. Oil stays near $100 amid Middle East risks and an IEA forecast for a 2026 supply drop, reinforcing energy-driven inflation sensitivity. Mortgage rates above 7% signal tightening financial conditions and renewed pressure on housing-related equities.
Impact level
● High
Affected assets
NCCO1OILWTI2USD/USDT-1.48%
AI Insight · NCCO1OILWTI2USD/USDTAI Insight
● Neutral
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The International Energy Agency projects global oil supply will drop by 5.7 million barrels a day in 2026, a 6% decline, after previously forecasting a 4% drop this year. WTI crude remains near $100 a barrel, while Brent is at $104. In the U.S., 30-year fixed mortgage rates have moved above 7%, a sign that higher borrowing costs are starting to weigh on housing activity.