Crypto funds draw $1.2B in weekly inflows; Bitcoin AUM climbs to $155B

CoinDesk reported that cryptocurrency investment products took in $1.2 billion last week, extending the streak of net inflows to four consecutive weeks. Bitcoin led activity with $9.33 billion, lifting assets under management to $155 billion, the highest level since February. Prediction-market pricing on Polymarket points to low near-term odds of a fresh Bitcoin all-time high. The June 30 contract implies a 2.9% chance of a new record by that date, and the April 2026 market assigns roughly a 3% probability of Bitcoin falling to $60,000 by the end of April—suggesting traders largely expect prices to stay above that threshold. The June 30 contract, after hitting a new all-time high on June 30, was down 3% day over day. By contrast, the September 30 market shows higher odds at 10.5%, reflecting expectations that any breakout could take longer. Liquidity appears thin: total face-value volume was $8,027, while only $917 in USDC changed hands. A 5-percentage-point move in the June 30 contract price required just $959, indicating that a small number of active traders can materially influence pricing. The sustained institutional inflows are typically viewed as constructive for Bitcoin, even as prediction markets price a low likelihood of a new all-time high before midyear. At 2.9%, the June 30 YES shares pay $1 if correct, implying about 34.5x potential return. For odds to rise meaningfully, traders are looking for continued inflows into Bitcoin ETFs alongside supportive macro signals, including potential Federal Reserve rate cuts or major corporate Bitcoin adoption. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) communications can quickly shift sentiment. Geopolitical developments, including any change in the ceasefire status between the U.S. and Iran, could also move Bitcoin and related contracts.