International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol warned that the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is posing a serious threat to global energy security. The U.S.-Iran conflict has sharply escalated, with U.S. forces carrying out six consecutive nights of air strikes on Iran’s coastal cities while Iran continues to keep the strait closed and has launched missile and drone attacks on U.S. allies including Kuwait, Bahrain and Jordan. The United States says it has reimposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports and that five vessels tried to break it, with one “disabled”. About 20% of the world’s seaborne crude oil moves through the strait, and the current closure raises the risk of a material supply disruption.

The EU’s newly activated digital Entry/Exit System (EES), fully operational since April, has caused major border delays at airports across the bloc, with some travellers queuing for up to five hours and some flights departing half-full. Industry groups said the disruption has reached a “critical point” and could affect an additional 40 million passengers this summer and $45.4bn in tourism spending. The World Travel and Tourism Council backed calls to suspend the EES to ease pressure. The issue stems from an operational failure in regulatory implementation, directly impacting aviation and travel-related traditional assets.

美联储在新任主席凯文·沃什主持的首次议息会议上一致决定维持利率在3.5%-3.75%不变。此举发生在通胀升至4.2%（三年高位）、能源价格同比大涨23.5%的背景下。尽管霍尔木兹海峡近期传出重开消息，但供应链中断、产能停滞和燃料库存枯竭意味着油价回落至战前水平需数月。该政策决定与高企能源通胀形成直接因果链，对原油资产构成短期支撑。