Technical Analysis

Bitcoin entered the final part of 2025 after setting a new all-time high in October but has since dropped enough that the year could end with a negative candle. Analyst CryptoBullet argues that a red yearly close would mark a transition into a bear market rather than signal a breakdown of Bitcoin's four-year cycle. He points to a potential doji yearly candle near the $126,080 peak and expects a brief dead cat bounce and short altcoin rotation in early 2026 before a deeper correction.

Bitcoin fell below $88,000, then rebounded from the $86,700 support and climbed back above $88,000 and the 100‑hour Simple moving average. The BTC/USD pair now faces resistance around $88,500, $88,900 and $89,500, while key supports sit at $87,500, $86,700 and $85,000. A sustained move above $89,500 could open the way to the $90,200–$91,500 zone, whereas failure near $89,000 may trigger another drop.

Humanity Protocol's H token climbed 15% on 29 December, pushing Open Interest from $48.5 million to $57.5 million before slipping back toward the $0.16 area. The price is currently oscillating between $0.15 and $0.18 as a 105.35 million H unlock scheduled for 25 January raises dilution concerns. Traders are watching support at $0.15 and Fibonacci levels at $0.112 and $0.083 as potential retest zones.

Bitcoin is consolidating below $90,000 after a drop from the $100,000–$105,000 area, keeping market sentiment cautious and fueling debate over whether a deeper bear phase could extend into 2026. On-chain analyst Axel Adler notes that the "Supply in Profit" metric has fallen from above 19 million BTC to around 13.5 million BTC, pulling the 30-day average below the 90-day and opening the door to a potential bullish crossover in late February to early March if current conditions hold. The outlook remains highly sensitive to price, with $70,000 identified as a critical downside level and $90,000 acting as key resistance that bulls must reclaim to meaningfully shift the current structure.

Analytics firm Santiment reports that social media sentiment around Bitcoin has shifted back toward optimism, with bullish mentions now outnumbering bearish ones. Historical patterns suggest that such waves of greed have often aligned with local tops, even as Bitcoin currently consolidates around $88,000. Session-based return data shared by CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn indicates flat performance across US, European, and Asia-Pacific trading hours.

On 26 December, total crypto market capitalization hovered near $2.96 trillion with roughly $102.94 billion in daily volume, according to CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin traded between $86,000 and $90,000 while the Fear and Greed Index read 30; since 18 December, market cap rose from $2.85 trillion to $2.96 trillion, an increase of about $110 billion, as Santiment noted social spikes on price dips.

According to Steph is Crypto, XRP's 3‑week Stochastic RSI has reset to 0.00, a rare reading last seen at the 2022 bear‑market low, hinting at exhaustion of selling momentum. Altcoin Pioneers also notes a repeating ABC fractal from the 2016–2017 cycle, with the ongoing correction aligning toward the $1.87 region, fueling debate about a potential base before any sustained upside.

In 2025, Solana generated more than $1.5 billion in revenue, outpacing Ethereum and Hyperliquid while still keeping median transaction fees under one cent. SOL recently traded near $123.89 with about $6.46 billion in 24-hour volume, as traders focused on resistance at $129 and key technical levels heading into 2026.

XRP hovered near $1.80 as selling pressure persisted and recent rebounds failed to draw strong demand. Binance data shows exchange reserves have fallen to about 2.64 billion XRP, their lowest since 2024, while a CryptoQuant report highlights continued outflows. With price below key averages, downside risks remain until $2.00–$2.20 levels are reclaimed.

Midnight (NIGHT) gained 2.5% over 24 hours and 18.1% for the week, while BTC fell 1.85% daily and rose 0.3% weekly. A 27 December structure break and a $0.083 support flip keep H4 momentum constructive, with $0.10 as a key trigger. If reclaimed, technical projections point toward the $0.134 extension level.