Trading

On April 5, 2026, Ripple said Ripple Treasury joined the SWIFT Certified Partner Program, linking its treasury tools to SWIFT’s Alliance Lite2 for bank connectivity. The company says teams can manage fiat alongside XRP and RLUSD from one interface and choose settlement via SWIFT or on-chain, where transfers may complete in three to five seconds.

Whales accumulated about 10,000 BTC over a 72-hour period, as Bitcoin continued to trade below $70,000. BTC was priced at $66,860 at press time, down 0.18% over 24 hours and up 0.26% on the week. Scenario analysis outlined potential ranges between $66,000 and $70,000 in the coming days, with supports flagged at $64,000, $62,000 and a longer-term CVDD level at $47,960.

Polymarket pricing suggests XRP is expected to stay largely range-bound into the end of April, with the highest-probability outcome centered on $1.40 (65%). Lower and higher targets draw far less conviction, while XRP was last quoted at $1.31, down about 0.3% in 24 hours and nearly 2% over the week. The asset also sits below its 50-day SMA ($1.41) and 200-day SMA ($2.06), with a 14-day RSI of 38.95 indicating selling pressure remains in control.

Ethereum’s derivatives metrics are showing a notable shift, with net taker volume turning sustainably positive for the first time since 2023 and reaching $104 million over the past 24 hours. Futures capital flows also flipped from heavy outflows to inflows, including $6.64 billion over 60 days and $131.7 million in the last 24 hours. Despite these signals, ETH price action remained neutral, with liquidation levels clustered around $2,070–$2,090 above and $2,027–$2,010 below.

Fed funds futures tracked by the CME FedWatch Tool imply a 99.5% chance the Federal Reserve keeps rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the April 29 FOMC meeting. The repricing follows WTI moving above $110 per barrel and Brent settling above $107 amid the reported U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, while prediction markets lift the probability of zero 2026 cuts to 36% on Polymarket and 38.5% on Kalshi. Markets also assign a 96.7% probability of another hold at the June 17 meeting.

Chainlink (LINK) has remained under $9 after slipping below $10 in early February, with the token still nearly 70% below its $25 cycle high. On April 3, on-chain analyst Darkfost said 14.7 million LINK—worth about $126 million—was transferred to Binance in a single day, a flow they cautioned could add sell-side pressure. LINK was around $8.7 at the time of writing, up 0.5% over 24 hours and about 1.5% over the past week.

Bitcoin’s retail participation appears to be fading, with “shrimp” (under 1 BTC) inflows dropping to record lows and keeping confidence around a $65k local bottom uncertain. Meanwhile, memecoin engagement remains muted, including a sharp fall in Solana active wallets from over 30 million at its mid-2025 peak to below 5 million. Against that backdrop, heavy institutional activity—led by BlackRock’s IBIT ETF trading $16-18 billion daily—supports a “buy the fear” setup that could underpin BTC if risk sentiment turns.

XRP’s derivatives positioning has reset as open interest fell to 820.92M and funding rates hovered near zero, while the taker buy/sell ratio moved slightly above neutral to 1.05. XRP traded around $1.31, with price failing to break $1.33 after the April 1–April 4 rebound and volume running 23% above the weekly average without a breakout.

Bitcoin hovered around $67,000 on Saturday afternoon as U.S.-Iran tensions intensified following President Donald Trump's April 4, 2026 post giving Iran 48 hours to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The wider backdrop included Operation Epic Fury, which U.S. forces say has hit more than 9,000 targets since Feb. 28, 2026, alongside oil prices rising above $100 to $110 a barrel. BTC briefly dipped below $68,000 before returning to the $67,000 area, after earlier sliding toward a 2026 low near $65,834 and then rebounding.

Bitcoin traded at $66,845 at the time of writing, up 0.42% over the past 24 hours, while price action stayed range-bound. On-chain and flow metrics suggest weaker demand as exchange withdrawals hit 908 addresses and large-holder accumulation appears to stall. In derivatives, funding was slightly positive at 0.0037% but Open Interest slipped 0.87% to $46.14 billion, pointing to cautious positioning.