10-6
US blockade and Iranian attacks cut Hormuz traffic to about 28 ships a day
A US blockade and Iranian attacks have sharply reduced shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, with daily transits falling to about 28 ships from roughly 138 before the war. Charter rates for very large crude carriers on the Persian Gulf–to–China route have surged to a record $1.3m a day. Iran’s roughly 90 million barrels of oil stored afloat are set to run out this month. The rial has slid to 2.5m per dollar and inflation is near 90%.
10-6
10-6
G7 fuel reserve release could cut UK diesel prices by 6p a litre
G7 members agreed last week to release 100 million barrels of oil and fuel reserves as conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine squeezed supplies. UK retail diesel prices have recently risen above £2 per litre for the first time. Economists said the move could lower pump prices by around 6p a litre, saving about £3.3 on a 55-litre fill-up. They added it could shave roughly two to three basis points off near-term inflation.
10-6
10-5
Saudi Aramco CEO warns global oil stockpiles are ‘scarily thin’
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser warned that global oil inventories are at extremely low levels, saying Western countries’ emergency reserve releases amount to the “last major tool in the box.” The comments came after G7 nations said they would release 100 million barrels of crude oil and fuel to ease pressure on diesel prices. Even so, diesel prices have remained elevated, while oil has held near $102 per barrel.
10-5
10-2
Persian Gulf oil exports rebound to 23.3 million barrels a day as Brent holds above $100
Middle East oil exports have recovered to 23.3 million barrels a day, matching last year’s pace and up by at least 10 million barrels from March. Brent remains above $100 a barrel and rose 4.7% to $102 on Thursday after trading below $60 at the start of the year. Analysts say the adaptability of Middle East supply and China’s import demand could pull Brent down to $85 by year-end and to $80 in 2027. Britain, meanwhile, is heading into winter with the risk of sharply higher energy bills and potential diesel shortages.
10-2
10-1
Investors dub France the ‘new sick man of Europe’ as 10-year yield hits 4.825% and spread tops 1.2 points
France’s 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.825%, while the spread over German Bunds widened to above 1.2 percentage points, the highest since the 2012 eurozone crisis. France’s budget deficit is expected to reach 5.4% of GDP next year, above its previous target. The Treasury plans to issue a record €340bn of debt next year, and debt-servicing costs are set to rise 13% to €91bn. Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu is pushing to cut €54bn in public spending but faces political resistance ahead of the April 2027 presidential election.
10-1